Lorca FC vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LOR
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
SEO
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAD
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDE
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
CRD
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |