Lorca FC vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CHU
0 - 0
LOR
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
NUE
0 - 2
LOR
8%
21%
71%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 1
YEC
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
LOR
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 0
MIN
91%
8%
2%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
LUA
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
CIE
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CDA
0 - 1
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |