MLS Round 24

Houston Dynamo vs Toronto FC analysis

Houston Dynamo Toronto FC
74 ELO 77
3% Tilt -6.8%
361º General ELO ranking 786º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.1%
Houston Dynamo
25.9%
Draw
37%
Toronto FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37%
Win probability
Toronto FC
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo
Toronto FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2016
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 0
Houston Dynamo
HOD
52%
25%
23%
74 75 1 0
01 Aug. 2016
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes
SJE
42%
26%
32%
74 76 2 0
24 Jul. 2016
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
44%
26%
30%
74 76 2 0
21 Jul. 2016
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
37%
25%
38%
75 79 4 -1
16 Jul. 2016
GAL
LA Galaxy
1 - 0
Houston Dynamo
HOD
69%
19%
12%
75 81 6 0

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2016
TOR
Toronto FC
4 - 1
New England Revolution
NER
44%
25%
32%
76 76 0 0
04 Aug. 2016
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 0
Real Salt Lake
RSL
43%
25%
32%
76 77 1 0
01 Aug. 2016
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 0
Columbus Crew
COC
50%
25%
25%
75 73 2 +1
24 Jul. 2016
TOR
Toronto FC
4 - 1
DC United
DCU
50%
26%
24%
75 75 0 0
17 Jul. 2016
SJE
San Jose Earthquakes
2 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
38%
27%
35%
75 76 1 0