MLS Round 2

Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami analysis

Houston Dynamo Inter Miami
83 ELO 84
-6% Tilt -2.6%
359º General ELO ranking 329º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.6%
Houston Dynamo
25.7%
Draw
34.7%
Inter Miami

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.7%
Win probability
Inter Miami
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo
-13%
+13%
Inter Miami

Points and table prediction

Houston Dynamo
Their league position
Inter Miami
CURR.POS.
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
30º
23º
42
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Philadelphia Union
51
62
28%
Cincinnati
49
60
17%
Vancouver Whitecaps
45
59
9%
Inter Miami
42
59
14.5%
San Diego FC
49
58
12%
Nashville SC
47
58
10.5%
Orlando City
44
55
7%
Minnesota United
44
55
11%
Columbus Crew
44
55
8%
Seattle Sounders
11º
41
53
10º
6.5%
Los Angeles FC
13º
37
52
11º
8%
Charlotte FC
10º
41
52
12º
8.5%
New York City
12º
38
52
13º
8%
Chicago Fire
15º
36
50
14º
10%
Portland Timbers
14º
37
49
15º
8.5%
Austin FC
17º
34
48
16º
14.5%
New York RB
16º
36
47
17º
10.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
19º
32
46
18º
12.5%
Colorado Rapids
18º
33
44
19º
10%
Real Salt Lake
20º
31
43
20º
10.5%
New England Revolution
21º
28
42
21º
17.5%
FC Dallas
22º
28
42
22º
13.5%
Houston Dynamo
23º
28
39
23º
17.5%
Sporting Kansas City
24º
24
38
24º
22%
Atlanta United
26º
22
36
25º
19%
Toronto FC
25º
22
33
26º
15%
LA Galaxy
30º
16
30
27º
8%
CF Montréal
28º
19
30
28º
18.5%
DC United
29º
19
30
29º
22.5%
St. Louis City
27º
21
29
30º
24%
Expected probabilities
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Final Series
0% 72.5%
Play-offs
0% 12%
Mid-table
100% 15.5%

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
DC United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 2
FC Dallas
DAL
42%
26%
32%
83 83 0 0
15 Feb. 2025
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 3
DC United
DCU
48%
24%
28%
83 80 3 0
12 Feb. 2025
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 0
Columbus Crew
COC
43%
25%
33%
83 83 0 0
07 Feb. 2025
DAL
FC Dallas
2 - 2
Houston Dynamo
HOD
50%
24%
26%
83 84 1 0
03 Feb. 2025
HOD
Houston Dynamo
3 - 3
New England Revolution
NER
45%
24%
31%
83 81 2 0

Matches

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2025
IMI
Inter Miami
3 - 1
Sporting Kansas City
KCW
61%
20%
20%
83 81 2 0
23 Feb. 2025
IMI
Inter Miami
2 - 2
New York City
NYC
57%
22%
21%
83 83 0 0
20 Feb. 2025
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
0 - 1
Inter Miami
IMI
48%
23%
29%
83 82 1 0
15 Feb. 2025
IMI
Inter Miami
2 - 2
Orlando City
ORL
56%
21%
23%
83 83 0 0
09 Feb. 2025
OLI
CD Olimpia
0 - 5
Inter Miami
IMI
30%
24%
47%
83 74 9 0