MLS Normal Season Round 27

Houston Dynamo vs Columbus Crew analysis

Houston Dynamo Columbus Crew
81 ELO 83
0.6% Tilt 0.3%
360º General ELO ranking 339º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.7%
Houston Dynamo
25.4%
Draw
35.9%
Columbus Crew

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
Columbus Crew
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo
-13%
+2%
Columbus Crew

Points and table prediction

Houston Dynamo
Their league position
Columbus Crew
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
25º
10º
57
26º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cincinnati
69
69
100%
Orlando City
63
63
100%
Columbus Crew
57
57
100%
St. Louis City
56
56
100%
Philadelphia Union
55
55
100%
New England Revolution
55
55
100%
Seattle Sounders
11º
50
53
100%
Los Angeles FC
51
52
100%
Atlanta United
51
51
100%
Houston Dynamo
51
51
10º
100%
Real Salt Lake
10º
50
50
11º
100%
Nashville SC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13º
47
48
13º
100%
FC Dallas
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
20º
41
44
15º
0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15º
44
44
16º
0%
New York RB
16º
43
43
17º
100%
Charlotte FC
18º
43
43
18º
0%
Portland Timbers
17º
43
43
19º
0%
Minnesota United
21º
41
41
20º
0%
New York City
22º
41
41
21º
100%
CF Montréal
19º
41
41
22º
0%
DC United
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Chicago Fire
24º
40
40
24º
100%
Austin FC
25º
39
39
25º
100%
LA Galaxy
26º
36
36
26º
100%
Inter Miami
27º
34
34
27º
100%
Colorado Rapids
28º
27
27
28º
100%
Toronto FC
29º
22
22
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Houston Dynamo
Columbus Crew
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo
Columbus Crew
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
RSL
Real Salt Lake
0 - 3
Houston Dynamo
HOD
49%
25%
26%
80 81 1 0
24 Aug. 2023
HOD
Houston Dynamo
3 - 1
Real Salt Lake
RSL
36%
25%
39%
79 82 3 +1
21 Aug. 2023
HOD
Houston Dynamo
5 - 0
Portland Timbers
POR
33%
25%
41%
79 82 3 0
08 Aug. 2023
CHA
Charlotte FC
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
50%
23%
27%
79 78 1 0
03 Aug. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 0
Houston Dynamo
HOD
60%
21%
19%
79 83 4 0

Matches

Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
COC
Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
69%
19%
12%
83 72 11 0
21 Aug. 2023
COC
Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Cincinnati
CIN
40%
24%
36%
83 83 0 0
05 Aug. 2023
COC
Columbus Crew
3 - 3
Minnesota United
MIN
51%
23%
26%
83 80 3 0
01 Aug. 2023
AME
América
1 - 4
Columbus Crew
COC
53%
23%
25%
82 84 2 +1
24 Jul. 2023
COC
Columbus Crew
2 - 1
St. Louis City
STC
89%
9%
3%
82 52 30 0