MLS Next Pro Normal Season Round 18

Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II analysis

Houston Dynamo II Austin FC II
57 ELO 49
-4.5% Tilt 13.8%
3048º General ELO ranking 3699º
56º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Houston Dynamo II
23.4%
Draw
19.6%
Austin FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo II
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
Austin FC II
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo II
-29%
+16%
Austin FC II

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo II
Austin FC II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo II
Houston Dynamo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2024
LAG
Ventura County
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
33%
23%
44%
57 47 10 0
01 Jul. 2024
MIN
Minnesota United II
1 - 3
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
37%
24%
39%
56 51 5 +1
24 Jun. 2024
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
1 - 3
Colorado Rapids II
COR
48%
24%
28%
57 52 5 -1
17 Jun. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
1 - 0
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
48%
25%
27%
58 63 5 -1
08 Jun. 2024
SPK
Sporting Kansas City II
2 - 2
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
44%
23%
32%
57 57 0 +1

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
2 - 0
Real Monarchs
MON
49%
24%
27%
49 46 3 0
01 Jul. 2024
SPK
Sporting Kansas City II
2 - 2
Austin FC II
AFC
63%
21%
16%
49 56 7 0
23 Jun. 2024
NOT
North Texas
3 - 3
Austin FC II
AFC
72%
17%
11%
48 62 14 +1
15 Jun. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
0 - 0
Portland Timbers II
POR
45%
23%
31%
48 47 1 0
08 Jun. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 1
Colorado Rapids II
COR
34%
24%
43%
48 52 4 0