Houdeng vs Gilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houdeng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HOU
0 - 1
MOL
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ACM
0 - 1
HOU
43%
22%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 3
SOI
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
HOU
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 3
RMO
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 5
LER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 1
RFC
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 1
SOL
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 3
RFC
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 3
ASS
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |