Horsham vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 3
TON
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ASH
0 - 2
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
HOR
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
HOR
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
WEA
0 - 1
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
WEA
1 - 0
ASH
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WEA
0 - 0
BOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
WEA
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 1
WEA
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |