Non League Div One Isthmian South Round 4

Horsham vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis

Horsham Tooting and Mitcham
21 ELO 21
12.4% Tilt 7%
5405º General ELO ranking 15457º
169º Country ELO ranking 834º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Horsham
23.1%
Draw
33.6%
Tooting and Mitcham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
Horsham
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.6%
Win probability
Tooting and Mitcham
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horsham
+49%
+13%
Tooting and Mitcham

ELO progression

Horsham
Tooting and Mitcham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horsham
Horsham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2012
TOW
Eastbourne Town
3 - 1
Horsham
HOR
70%
18%
12%
20 28 8 0
18 Aug. 2012
HOR
Horsham
1 - 1
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
32%
25%
43%
19 26 7 +1
28 Apr. 2012
CRA
Cray Wanderers
3 - 1
Horsham
HOR
84%
12%
5%
19 45 26 0
21 Apr. 2012
HOR
Horsham
1 - 2
Canvey Island
CAN
9%
18%
73%
20 47 27 -1
14 Apr. 2012
HOR
Horsham
1 - 2
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
15%
21%
64%
20 37 17 0

Matches

Tooting and Mitcham
Tooting and Mitcham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2012
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
1 - 2
Faversham Town
FAV
62%
19%
19%
23 23 0 0
21 Aug. 2012
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
0 - 3
Leatherhead
LEA
25%
23%
52%
24 37 13 -1
18 Aug. 2012
HER
Herne Bay
0 - 1
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
44%
23%
34%
22 22 0 +2
28 Apr. 2012
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
1 - 7
Bury Town
BUR
15%
20%
65%
24 48 24 -2
21 Apr. 2012
HEN
Hendon
5 - 0
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
78%
15%
8%
24 44 20 0