Horsham vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MET
4 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
HAS
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CON
5 - 0
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
HEN
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
HOR
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TOO
0 - 1
CAN
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOW
2 - 2
TOO
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 1
TOO
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
WEA
2 - 0
TOO
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 3
TOO
27%
24%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |