Horsham vs Fleet Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ATK
2 - 2
HOR
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAN
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 3
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
HOR
7 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fleet Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
FLE
0 - 3
DUL
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
FLE
0 - 3
MET
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
FLE
0 - 4
WAL
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WHY
3 - 1
FLE
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
AFC
3 - 0
FLE
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | -1 |