Horsham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 2
HOR
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
THR
0 - 1
HOR
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
WOR
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
LEA
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FAV
2 - 1
HOR
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LEA
3 - 0
CHI
79%
15%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
MER
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
WOR
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WHI
3 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
THR
1 - 3
CHI
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |