Horsham vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
KIN
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
HOR
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOW
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
HOR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
HOR
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEW
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHE
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
ENF
2 - 1
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
5 - 4
CAR
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |