FA Cup . 1/128
Global 3-6
Horsham vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
75.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 2
HTG
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
HOR
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 2
HOR
16%
22%
63%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
HOR
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
HOR
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
FLE
71%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
STF
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEY
1 - 1
BAR
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |