Non League Div One Isthmian South Round 41

Horsham YMCA vs Molesey FC analysis

Horsham YMCA Molesey FC
20 ELO 17
4.8% Tilt -6.6%
12209º General ELO ranking 16675º
677º Country ELO ranking 866º
ELO win probability
58%
Horsham YMCA
21.4%
Draw
20.6%
Molesey FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Horsham YMCA
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.6%
Win probability
Molesey FC
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horsham YMCA
-9%
-9%
Molesey FC

ELO progression

Horsham YMCA
Molesey FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horsham YMCA
Horsham YMCA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2008
CHA
Chatham Town
3 - 2
Horsham YMCA
HOR
74%
17%
9%
19 33 14 0
05 Apr. 2008
CRA
Cray Wanderers
5 - 0
Horsham YMCA
HOR
85%
11%
4%
19 44 25 0
29 Mar. 2008
HOR
Horsham YMCA
0 - 5
Sittingbourne
SIT
20%
22%
58%
21 35 14 -2
24 Mar. 2008
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
1 - 0
Horsham YMCA
HOR
81%
13%
7%
21 36 15 0
22 Mar. 2008
HOR
Horsham YMCA
2 - 3
Kingstonian
KIN
20%
23%
58%
21 38 17 0

Matches

Molesey FC
Molesey FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2008
MOL
Molesey FC
1 - 1
Walton & Hersham
WAL
18%
24%
59%
16 32 16 0
15 Apr. 2008
MOL
Molesey FC
0 - 1
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
17%
23%
60%
17 33 16 -1
08 Apr. 2008
MOL
Molesey FC
1 - 6
Chatham Town
CHA
20%
24%
56%
18 33 15 -1
05 Apr. 2008
MOL
Molesey FC
1 - 3
Whitstable Town
WHI
21%
22%
57%
19 30 11 -1
24 Mar. 2008
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 1
Molesey FC
MOL
77%
16%
7%
19 38 19 0