Horsham YMCA vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GOD
3 - 0
HOR
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 2
TOW
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 3
RAM
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 11
LEA
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 1
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MER
3 - 3
WOR
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
MER
4 - 3
WHI
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DUL
0 - 1
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TOW
0 - 1
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |