AC Horsens vs Kolding IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
3º
34
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 2
ACH
32%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KJE
0 - 5
ACH
9%
16%
74%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 2
HIL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 3
FRE
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
KOL
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 6
KOL
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 29 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
FRE
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
HVI
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
B93
0 - 0
KOL
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |