CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Horoya AC vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horoya AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 0
HOR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
TOG
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WYD
2 - 0
HOR
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 1
WYD
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
HOR
3 - 0
RFC
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
EEE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 3
KCC
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 2
ALA
21%
29%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
WAD
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |