Horndean vs Portland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 5
BEA
61%
20%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 3
GOS
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SEL
1 - 3
HOR
7%
12%
81%
|
45 | 5 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 4
BOG
61%
20%
20%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 1
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
3 - 0
POR
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 3
POR
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 1
POR
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |