Combined Counties Football League Wessex League Premier. Jor. 6

Horndean vs Bournemouth FC analysis

Horndean Bournemouth FC
36 ELO 14
3.4% Tilt 6%
7705º General ELO ranking 12357º
398º Country ELO ranking 793º
ELO win probability
88.2%
Horndean
8.3%
Draw
3.5%
Bournemouth FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
Horndean
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.5%
Win probability
Bournemouth FC
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horndean
-30%
-28%
Bournemouth FC

ELO progression

Horndean
Bournemouth FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horndean
Horndean
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
SHA
Shaftesbury Town
3 - 5
Horndean
HOR
28%
21%
51%
36 27 9 0
07 Feb. 2023
HOR
Horndean
3 - 0
Baffins Milton Rovers
BMR
81%
12%
7%
35 21 14 +1
04 Feb. 2023
HOR
Horndean
2 - 1
Hythe & Dibden
HYD
81%
12%
7%
35 20 15 0
31 Jan. 2023
PAG
Pagham
0 - 3
Horndean
HOR
9%
14%
78%
35 16 19 0
28 Jan. 2023
FAR
Fareham Town
4 - 3
Horndean
HOR
11%
15%
74%
36 18 18 -1

Matches

Bournemouth FC
Bournemouth FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
BOU
Bournemouth FC
3 - 0
Bemerton Heath
BEM
6%
11%
83%
9 30 21 0
04 Feb. 2023
UNI
United Services
3 - 2
Bournemouth FC
BOU
70%
17%
14%
10 13 3 -1
31 Jan. 2023
SHA
Shaftesbury Town
3 - 0
Bournemouth FC
BOU
92%
6%
2%
10 29 19 0
28 Jan. 2023
BOU
Bournemouth FC
0 - 3
Cowes Sports FC
COW
53%
20%
28%
12 11 1 -2
27 Dec. 2022
CHR
Christchurch
4 - 2
Bournemouth FC
BOU
61%
19%
21%
13 15 2 -1
X