Hornau vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
16º
18º
18º
50
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 58 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hornau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
HOR
0 - 5
GON
8%
12%
80%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HOR
1 - 2
GIE
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RWW
6 - 0
HOR
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
HOR
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 2
RWW
17%
18%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 3
HSC
51%
20%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
WAL
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 2
STE
56%
20%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
2 - 1
WAL
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RWW
2 - 1
WAL
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |