Cearense 1 Round 16

Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis

Horizonte Guarani de Juazeiro
56 ELO 52
0.4% Tilt 9%
5868º General ELO ranking 9206º
217º Country ELO ranking 383º
ELO win probability
57.1%
Horizonte
22.3%
Draw
20.6%
Guarani de Juazeiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
Horizonte
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.6%
Win probability
Guarani de Juazeiro
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horizonte
+51%
-7%
Guarani de Juazeiro

ELO progression

Horizonte
Guarani de Juazeiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horizonte
Horizonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2013
HOR
Horizonte
3 - 2
São Benedito
SAO
73%
17%
10%
56 40 16 0
16 Feb. 2013
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
1 - 2
Horizonte
HOR
32%
24%
44%
56 51 5 0
14 Feb. 2013
HOR
Horizonte
1 - 0
Maracanã
MAR
74%
16%
10%
56 39 17 0
09 Feb. 2013
HOR
Horizonte
1 - 0
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
53%
23%
25%
55 52 3 +1
07 Feb. 2013
HOR
Horizonte
0 - 1
Ferroviário
FER
65%
20%
16%
56 48 8 -1

Matches

Guarani de Juazeiro
Guarani de Juazeiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2013
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 - 0
Maracanã
MAR
69%
19%
12%
52 38 14 0
17 Feb. 2013
ICA
Icasa
2 - 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
51%
24%
25%
52 54 2 0
09 Feb. 2013
FER
Ferroviário
1 - 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
42%
25%
33%
53 49 4 -1
06 Feb. 2013
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 - 1
Crato
CRA
53%
23%
24%
53 49 4 0
03 Feb. 2013
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 - 0
São Benedito
SAO
71%
18%
11%
53 37 16 0