Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
HOR
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
4 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |