Hoogezand vs 't Fean '58 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+727%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
24
12º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoogezand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 1
HOO
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 3
BRO
30%
21%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
4 - 2
HOO
35%
22%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
0 - 1
ORA
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 4
PKC
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 0
TFE
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ONS
6 - 2
TFE
90%
7%
4%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
ORA
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PKC
5 - 6
TFE
91%
6%
3%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TFE
0 - 1
BLA
7%
12%
81%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |