Hongg vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
HON
1 - 3
STG
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 1
HON
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HON
0 - 4
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
FCM
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 1
YFJ
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 2
TUG
40%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 0
MEN
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 4
TUG
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |