Hongg vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KRE
1 - 2
HON
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HON
0 - 0
FCG
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
FCW
0 - 1
HON
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HON
1 - 2
RAP
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MEN
4 - 1
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MEN
1 - 0
FCB
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
MEN
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MEN
3 - 1
FCM
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MEN
1 - 1
GCB
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |