Hong Kong vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAS
1 - 3
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
CHN
3 - 1
HKG
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
HKG
89%
8%
2%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
KWT
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
MKD
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |