Hong Kong U23 XI vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
10º
34
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KFC
6 - 0
HKU
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HKU
1 - 5
WAR
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WTP
6 - 0
HKU
76%
14%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
HKU
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
NDT
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HON
0 - 5
SDI
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SDI
1 - 1
EAS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
NDT
1 - 2
SDI
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 1
SHA
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
KFC
0 - 0
SDI
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |