HK Sapling vs TSW Pegasus FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
4 - 0
HON
76%
17%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
KFC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
YOK
4 - 0
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
4 - 1
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
2 - 1
KFC
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
3 - 0
SHA
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SHS
1 - 3
PFC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 0
PFC
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |