Hong Kong First Division Round 18

Hong Kong FC vs Tai Chung analysis

Hong Kong FC Tai Chung
57 ELO 45
32.1% Tilt 17.1%
4698º General ELO ranking 19581º
12º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
76%
Hong Kong FC
14.3%
Draw
9.8%
Tai Chung

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
Hong Kong FC
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
Tai Chung
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Hong Kong FC
Tai Chung
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2014
HON
Hong Kong FC
4 - 2
Shatin
SHA
66%
18%
16%
56 51 5 0
02 Mar. 2014
TUE
Tuen Mun FC
2 - 7
Hong Kong FC
HON
12%
19%
70%
56 23 33 0
23 Feb. 2014
HON
Hong Kong FC
2 - 0
Wanchai
WAN
87%
9%
4%
56 35 21 0
15 Feb. 2014
LUC
Lucky Mile
0 - 3
Hong Kong FC
HON
12%
19%
70%
55 26 29 +1
12 Feb. 2014
WTP
Wofoo Tai Po FC
0 - 0
Hong Kong FC
HON
61%
21%
18%
55 61 6 0

Matches

Tai Chung
Tai Chung
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2014
TCS
Tai Chung
3 - 2
Lucky Mile
LUC
83%
11%
6%
45 27 18 0
02 Mar. 2014
TCS
Tai Chung
1 - 5
Wing Yee
WIN
68%
18%
15%
47 35 12 -2
23 Feb. 2014
SHA
Shatin
2 - 1
Tai Chung
TCS
50%
23%
28%
47 50 3 0
16 Feb. 2014
TCS
Tai Chung
0 - 1
Kwun Tong
KWU
69%
18%
13%
47 40 7 0
09 Feb. 2014
KWA
Kwai Tsing
8 - 4
Tai Chung
TCS
23%
22%
55%
50 38 12 -3