Hong Kong FC vs Sparta Asia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TMS
2 - 1
HON
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HON
0 - 0
KWA
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BIU
2 - 5
HON
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HON
4 - 6
WIN
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
TCS
3 - 2
HON
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Asia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MUT
5 - 3
TMS
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KWA
5 - 2
MUT
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MUT
1 - 4
BIU
28%
24%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
MUT
0 - 9
HVA
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FRA
6 - 1
MUT
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |