Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+235%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
HON
36%
22%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HON
1 - 2
WTP
46%
23%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 3
HON
26%
22%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HON
1 - 1
KWA
70%
17%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KWU
0 - 1
HON
12%
17%
72%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
5 - 3
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
3 - 1
KWA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WTP
2 - 1
CAA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
YTS
2 - 1
CAA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
4 - 0
KWU
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |