Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
HON
1 - 4
SCA
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WTP
1 - 2
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
HON
2 - 4
YOK
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TMS
1 - 0
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
HON
0 - 3
SHS
50%
23%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WTP
2 - 3
CAA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 1
KFC
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 1
YOK
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
TMS
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 0
WTP
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |