Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HVA
0 - 1
HON
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
HON
3 - 2
SCA
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SHS
3 - 0
HON
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
HON
1 - 3
SHF
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
WTP
1 - 1
HON
64%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SCA
5 - 2
CAA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CAA
2 - 2
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CAA
2 - 3
KFC
23%
24%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BIU
3 - 0
CAA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAA
0 - 1
HVA
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |