Hønefoss vs Strindheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
12º
8º
9
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 55 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 24 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 23 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KJE
5 - 4
HON
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
4 - 0
HON
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HON
4 - 2
RFK
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Strindheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
STR
4 - 1
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ULL
4 - 1
STR
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 0
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 3
STR
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |