Hønefoss vs Sogndal II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
3º
2º
25
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
HON
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
HAM
87%
9%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
4 - 0
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SPJ
1 - 2
HON
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
FLO
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sogndal II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 3
EID
10%
17%
72%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 1
SOF
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SOF
4 - 0
MOL
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ELV
2 - 1
SOF
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SOF
6 - 2
FLO
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |