Hønefoss vs Kongsvinger II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
41
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 5
HON
6%
14%
80%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HAR
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 6
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Kongsvinger II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 0
IFC
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KON
3 - 2
ILU
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
KON
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KON
5 - 1
FBG
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 2
KON
56%
19%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |