Hønefoss vs Fyllingsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
25
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
74%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 4
HON
8%
16%
77%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 2
IFC
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 3
HON
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
ELV
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fyllingsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
2 - 0
FYL
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HAM
6 - 1
FYL
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 1
IFC
67%
16%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 0
FYL
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 2
FLO
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |