Hønefoss vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MOS
4 - 2
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HAM
4 - 0
HON
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
HON
0 - 2
ASK
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 1
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 2
HON
26%
22%
53%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
FFK
0 - 1
MJO
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
FFK
1 - 3
ODD
11%
17%
72%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
FFK
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
FFK
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KVI
0 - 4
FFK
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |