Honduras vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
HND
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 2
CHL
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
31%
24%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
PRY
1 - 1
MEX
49%
25%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |