Honduras vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
86.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
16.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 0
URU
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
HND
2 - 0
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
HND
0 - 1
CRC
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
HND
2 - 3
CRC
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
90%
7%
3%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
BRA
3%
11%
86%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |