Gold Cup CONCACAF Round 2

Honduras vs Panama analysis

Honduras Panama
81 ELO 84
4.9% Tilt -1.1%
821º General ELO ranking 393º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.6%
Honduras
24.7%
Draw
34.7%
Panama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Honduras
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
Panama
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Honduras
+3%
+4%
Panama

ELO progression

Honduras
Panama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Honduras
Honduras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2015
USA
United States
2 - 1
Honduras
HND
72%
18%
11%
81 90 9 0
02 Jul. 2015
HND
Honduras
0 - 0
Mexico
MEX
21%
24%
55%
81 90 9 0
11 Jun. 2015
BRA
Brazil
1 - 0
Honduras
HND
88%
10%
3%
81 97 16 0
07 Jun. 2015
PAR
Paraguay
2 - 2
Honduras
HND
62%
22%
16%
81 87 6 0
31 May. 2015
HND
Honduras
2 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
69%
19%
12%
81 72 9 0

Matches

Panama
Panama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2015
PAN
Panama
1 - 1
Haiti
HTI
65%
21%
14%
84 71 13 0
06 Jun. 2015
ECU
Ecuador
4 - 0
Panama
PAN
68%
20%
13%
84 89 5 0
04 Jun. 2015
PAN
Panama
1 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
27%
26%
47%
84 89 5 0
01 Apr. 2015
PAN
Panama
2 - 1
Costa Rica
CRC
33%
26%
40%
84 87 3 0
27 Mar. 2015
TTO
Trinidad and Tobago
0 - 1
Panama
PAN
40%
26%
34%
84 76 8 0