Honduras U20 vs Estados Unidos U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CRC
0 - 1
HND
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
HND
3 - 0
SLV
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
HND
0 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
35%
23%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GTM
2 - 1
HND
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estados Unidos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
USA
26%
22%
52%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
USA
1 - 0
IRL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 4
USA
66%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 1
USA
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |