Honduras Progreso vs Juticalpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
4 - 2
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
HNP
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VID
2 - 1
HNP
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juticalpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUT
0 - 3
VID
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JUT
3 - 1
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RES
2 - 0
JUT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 2
JUT
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
JUT
2 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |