Honda vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MCF
0 - 2
HON
10%
17%
72%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
HON
7%
16%
77%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
HON
3 - 2
SUN
78%
15%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CON
2 - 4
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
TMF
1 - 1
HON
11%
19%
71%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TOK
0 - 2
VEN
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ALB
4 - 0
TOK
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
TOK
5 - 2
KAG
61%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
TOK
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 3
TOK
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |