Honda vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 4
HON
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HON
3 - 1
REN
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HON
3 - 2
HOY
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HON
0 - 0
HON
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HON
3 - 2
FUJ
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AZU
2 - 1
SAG
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |