First Division Round 11

Home Farm vs Monaghan United analysis

Home Farm Monaghan United
50 ELO 52
1.1% Tilt -11.9%
29643º General ELO ranking 20540º
71º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
48.1%
Home Farm
24.6%
Draw
27.4%
Monaghan United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
Home Farm
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
Monaghan United
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Home Farm
Monaghan United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Home Farm
Home Farm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 1999
LIM
Limerick
1 - 1
Home Farm
HFA
63%
22%
15%
50 58 8 0
10 Oct. 1999
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 0
Home Farm
HFA
65%
21%
14%
50 59 9 0
02 Oct. 1999
HFA
Home Farm
0 - 1
Kilkenny City
KIL
42%
26%
33%
51 56 5 -1
24 Sep. 1999
BRW
Bray Wanderers
3 - 0
Home Farm
HFA
67%
20%
13%
52 61 9 -1
18 Sep. 1999
HFA
Home Farm
1 - 2
Longford Town
LON
45%
26%
29%
52 57 5 0

Matches

Monaghan United
Monaghan United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
1 - 4
Cobh Ramblers
COB
41%
26%
33%
53 56 3 0
10 Oct. 1999
KIL
Kilkenny City
2 - 1
Monaghan United
MON
60%
21%
19%
54 57 3 -1
03 Oct. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
0 - 4
Longford Town
LON
46%
26%
28%
55 58 3 -1
24 Sep. 1999
STF
St. Francis FC
2 - 2
Monaghan United
MON
28%
25%
47%
55 41 14 0
19 Sep. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
0 - 0
Limerick
LIM
47%
26%
28%
55 57 2 0