FC 08 Homburg Sub 15 vs Mainz 05 Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
87.9%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.4%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.6%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.9%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SVE
2 - 1
HOM
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
4 - 1
SEW
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FVS
4 - 0
HOM
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
0 - 0
SMS
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PFK
1 - 0
HOM
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
M05
9 - 0
FCS
91%
7%
3%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 4
M05
3%
8%
88%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
JFR
0 - 2
M05
4%
9%
86%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
M05
4 - 1
KOB
87%
9%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FCK
2 - 4
M05
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |