Holyport vs Harefield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 0
EDT
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 0
HFC
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 3
HOL
65%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 2
HOL
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
W&C
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WAE
0 - 5
HAR
24%
21%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
ARD
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRU
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 4
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |