Holwierde vs Noordscheschut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holwierde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DRE
3 - 1
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOO
0 - 3
HOL
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 2
OLD
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 3
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HOL
3 - 3
LEE
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noordscheschut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOO
4 - 5
CVV
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOO
0 - 3
HOL
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BLA
0 - 0
NOO
31%
24%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOO
2 - 0
KNI
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOO
0 - 5
OEV
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |